PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Castral

0xcdf2630ba821bf1d2bee02c7b1eecee91c244f56

Realised P&L
$-54.04
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$0.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0220.018$0.84−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 20? · Yes0.7500.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.0620.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 27-November 2? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 31? · No0.0790.000$0.00−$1.00
Wizards vs. Thunder · Wizards0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.4380.000$0.00−$39.94
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Solana reach $270 in October? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 09:12Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 20?BUY0.75$1.00
10-18 09:06Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.0219999997$1.00
11-01 05:10Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?BUY0.438$39.94
10-30 21:12Wizards vs. ThunderBUY0.1099999032$1.00
10-30 21:12Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-30?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
10-30 21:09Will Solana reach $270 in October?BUY0.0039227993$1.00
10-30 21:09Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 27-November 2?BUY0.01$1.00
10-30 21:08Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? BUY0.001$1.00
10-30 21:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 31?BUY0.0789999325$1.00
10-30 15:06Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.0619999428$1.00
10-30 07:52Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?BUY0.003$5.00
10-30 07:51Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.0749999869$5.00