PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcded23a5ed6ef4d045ca2fd3dd7a02b9f7b3b1ec

Realised P&L
$566.31
Volume
$1.32M
Markets traded
745
Open portfolio
$23.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded745
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.005$10.00+$8.00
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.905$4.53+$0.53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1300.075$2.31$1.69
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.002$1.65+$0.55
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.001$1.50$1.50
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.002$1.47+$0.49
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.001$0.65$0.65
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.002$0.56+$0.19
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.001$0.03+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 11:54Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.001$0.31
07-01 18:00Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.004$0.40
07-01 17:45Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.06$0.80
07-01 17:37Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.08$2.00
07-01 16:16Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.17$2.00
06-30 12:27Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?SELL0.001$0.15
06-29 13:56Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?SELL0.001$0.33
06-29 12:23Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?SELL0.001$0.93
06-27 20:30Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?SELL0.002$0.21
06-24 15:49Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
06-24 13:23Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?BUY0.002$0.08
06-24 08:59Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.001$0.39
06-24 08:52Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?SELL0.001$0.76
06-24 07:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
06-24 07:45Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?BUY0.001$1.73