0xcded23a5ed6ef4d045ca2fd3dd7a02b9f7b3b1ec
- Realised P&L
- $566.31
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 745
- Open portfolio
- $23.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded745
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.005 | $10.00 | +$8.00 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.905 | $4.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.075 | $2.31 | −$1.69 |
| Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $1.65 | +$0.55 |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $1.47 | +$0.49 |
| Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.65 | −$0.65 |
| Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $0.56 | +$0.19 |
| Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.03 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.002Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$102.77at 0.010Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
- +$40.08at 0.020Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5
- +$40.00at 0.770Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$39.89at 0.020Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 11:54 | Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.31 |
| 07-01 18:00 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 07-01 17:45 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.80 |
| 07-01 17:37 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 16:16 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 12:27 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 06-29 13:56 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 06-29 12:23 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.93 |
| 06-27 20:30 | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 06-24 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 06-24 08:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.39 |
| 06-24 08:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.76 |
| 06-24 07:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 07:45 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.73 |