Dobriy
0xcdec1d0ad7843d331ecb9e8fde0b1645db90fe73
- Realised P&L
- $-667.43
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $527.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.425 | $527.38 | −$72.62 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.78 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.91 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.385 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.60 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek · Iga Swiatek | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.59at 0.021Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$-0.11at 0.597Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?
- +$-0.23at 0.245LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$-0.24at 0.627Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?
- +$-0.24at 0.649Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 15:22 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.483520304 | $600.00 |
| 05-31 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.035648 | $1.78 |
| 05-31 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 13:12 | Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 05:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.20 |
| 05-29 04:29 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $0.97 |
| 05-29 04:29 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 04:24 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $2.90 |
| 05-29 04:23 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 04:23 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 04:22 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 03:59 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 03:59 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 22:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.95 |
| 05-28 18:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |