PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dobriy

0xcdec1d0ad7843d331ecb9e8fde0b1645db90fe73

Realised P&L
$-667.43
Volume
$29.4k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$527.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? · Yes0.4830.425$527.38−$72.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$0.78
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.0510.000$0.00−$149.91
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00−$45.60
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek · Iga Swiatek0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 15:22Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.483520304$600.00
05-31 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.035648$1.78
05-31 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
05-31 13:12Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga SwiatekBUY0.001$1.00
05-29 05:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL0.2$0.20
05-29 04:29Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.62$0.97
05-29 04:29Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
05-29 04:24Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.62$2.90
05-29 04:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
05-29 04:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
05-29 04:22Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
05-29 03:59Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
05-29 03:59Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
05-28 22:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?SELL0.55$0.95
05-28 18:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?BUY0.579999826$1.00