PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Driver44

0xcde847866e45f1cf6fef0d16ce87d15150fe6da6

Realised P&L
$-17.06
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$1.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026? · No0.9100.875$0.96−$0.04
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.8900.125$0.16−$0.95
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5200.045$0.09−$0.91
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$1.19
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 10AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 05:41Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
10-31 05:40Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.994$299.69
10-31 05:39Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.998$202.48
10-28 10:07Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9975697608$202.00
10-28 10:07Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.9957078218$201.13
10-28 10:07Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.998$202.00
10-28 10:06Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.995$300.00
05-30 05:35Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.992$80.31
05-30 05:35Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$77.91
05-28 06:40Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$78.00
05-28 06:39Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.994$80.00
05-28 06:39Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.992$79.36
05-28 06:38Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.994$80.00
04-27 06:08Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.992$205.22
04-27 06:07Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.996$174.65