maxbth
0xcde3c6877878edb634d19b04f868b1fbab356aac
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $33.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.125 | $967.40 | +$29.41 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.006 | $159.27 | −$1.1k |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$142.57 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.40 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 16:35 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0562942895 | $496.89 |
| 08-20 14:49 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0478680026 | $750.42 |
| 07-12 19:45 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0499851483 | $26.40 |
| 07-07 19:46 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.121199733 | $937.99 |
| 07-07 18:33 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3279999986 | $142.57 |