0xcdd5951e16d0b4ed2a5a3c86ec72729c9734d296
- Realised P&L
- $3.31
- Volume
- $79.11
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $8.04
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.680 | 1.000 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · No | 0.420 | 0.515 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.845 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.760 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.740 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.195 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.255 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.347Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.75at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:07 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:20 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:48 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:44 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:39 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:22 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:22 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:39 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:36 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:35 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 03:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:14 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |