PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Vincent4

0xcdd274bfc0231658956b1bbfc1a1f4c26f14b879

Realised P&L
$85.92
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$40.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.4100.155$16.26−$26.74
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2790.660$11.82+$6.82
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0090.003$4.17−$10.83
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) · Tampa Bay Rays0.3700.360$3.89−$0.11
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1100.009$2.86−$32.14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.041$1.12−$3.88
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.005$0.23−$4.77
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Spurs vs. Warriors · Warriors0.1130.000$0.00−$3.40
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) · Crystal Palace FC0.1710.000$0.00−$5.00
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) · Real Madrid CF0.5100.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-03-31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) · Manchester United FC0.3370.000$0.00−$10.00
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Under0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: Morocco (-3.5) · Morocco0.1700.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 23:45Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)BUY0.3699999935$4.00
10-16 23:37Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.6529998159$2.00
10-15 17:17Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-15 17:16KKS Lech Poznań vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5BUY0.2599999896$3.00
10-14 16:17Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)BUY0.2899999884$3.00
10-14 16:16Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BUY0.25$2.00
10-14 16:15Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5BUY0.3799999924$2.00
10-10 18:30Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 7.5 Total CornersBUY0.2$1.00
10-10 18:29Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)BUY0.5099999949$6.00
10-10 15:32Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)BUY0.1699999983$9.00
10-07 07:26Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.2019999884$3.00
09-24 04:28Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-20 10:56Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)BUY0.269999993$5.00
09-13 15:42Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)BUY0.1399999989$10.00
09-06 12:35Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)BUY0.12$18.00