justski10
0xcdce2d4c462014a0936e10b0aa4100be7eb497ae
- Realised P&L
- $3.95
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $48.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) · Bills | 0.420 | 1.000 | $47.60 | +$27.60 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.310 | 0.040 | $0.79 | −$5.41 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.00at 0.280Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$69.70at 0.590Texans vs. Steelers
- +$35.17at 0.367Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
- +$28.66at 0.038Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$25.50at 0.286Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:40 | Spread: Bills (-10.5) | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 22:25 | Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.849999966 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 20:36 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 21:53 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 21:48 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 20:40 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 05-26 07:24 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 05-26 07:20 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 07:16 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4399999889 | $19.00 |
| 05-26 07:16 | Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.5199999945 | $19.00 |
| 05-23 09:22 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.226 | $206.91 |
| 05-21 20:17 | Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 05-19 05:16 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 05-18 19:50 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 19:48 | Canadiens vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |