PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xcdC7aEc385C7f8405B10bBdBC73e31bB701CfF41-1768588928954

0xcdc7aec385c7f8405b10bbdbc73e31bb701cff41

Realised P&L
$-509.19
Volume
$85.9k
Markets traded
2,191
Open portfolio
$1.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,191
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? · Yes0.4760.105$0.34−$1.18
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes0.2200.195$0.25−$0.03
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? · No0.2700.095$0.22−$0.41
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? · Yes0.2800.095$0.19−$0.37
Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? · Yes0.3000.075$0.18−$0.54
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.2300.042$0.17−$0.78
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? · No0.2000.160$0.16−$0.04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.2200.035$0.15−$0.83
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000? · Yes0.4170.053$0.12−$0.80
Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · Yes0.1700.044$0.05−$0.13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 0%-15%? · Yes0.2000.006$0.02−$0.53
Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2100.004$0.02−$1.03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 55% or more? · Yes0.2200.007$0.01−$0.21
LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs G2 HEL - Game 3 Winner · G2 HEL0.2900.001$0.01−$4.34
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Al Ahli (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · XI Esport0.1000.001$0.01−$1.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 06:56Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?SELL0.25$0.37
10-06 06:56Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?SELL0.91$0.74
10-06 06:56Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?SELL0.34$0.87
10-05 08:59LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageBUY0.63$3.15
10-05 07:55Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Group CBUY0.24$1.20
10-04 19:55LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsBUY0.53$2.65
10-04 16:55Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group StageBUY0.62$6.20
10-04 16:25Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.28$2.80
10-02 12:37Spain snap election called in 2026?SELL0.59$1.21
10-02 07:26Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?SELL0.62$1.10
10-02 07:26Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 2?SELL0.3966666667$2.38
10-01 09:41Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 1?SELL0.946$1.37
10-01 02:11Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 1?SELL0.8$4.80
09-30 16:15Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 1?SELL0.4$2.00
09-30 12:01Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 30?SELL0.26$2.00