PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x425b4B53d8e9c7c7CEa5564C736657C1b6dFFB14-1739126371793

0xcdc4abdd73d3369c428165429668a183335f13cb

Realised P&L
$-22.67
Volume
$873.56
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 21? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 21? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 31? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$3.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-26 22:04Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?SELL0.06$1.14
09-26 21:44Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.3547368421$6.74
09-26 21:32Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?SELL0.74$7.08
09-26 21:25Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.9$8.62
09-26 21:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?SELL0.44$8.91
09-26 21:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.8858865956$17.94
09-25 20:50Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?BUY0.8610715202$16.53
09-24 22:37Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.94$15.98
09-23 22:08Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.9699999994$15.80
09-23 19:01Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?SELL0.7294339623$7.73
09-23 18:31Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.93$9.86
09-22 20:48Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23?BUY0.9299999984$17.97
09-22 15:57Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.96$4.80
09-21 22:14Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.8439715953$7.00