0x425b4B53d8e9c7c7CEa5564C736657C1b6dFFB14-1739126371793
0xcdc4abdd73d3369c428165429668a183335f13cb
- Realised P&L
- $-22.67
- Volume
- $873.56
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 21? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 21? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 31? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.73 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.72at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
- +$2.92at 0.402Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 22?
- +$1.45at 0.962Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22?
- +$1.40at 0.867Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?
- +$0.98at 0.900Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 22:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.14 |
| 09-26 21:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3547368421 | $6.74 |
| 09-26 21:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.08 |
| 09-26 21:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.62 |
| 09-26 21:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.91 |
| 09-26 21:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.8858865956 | $17.94 |
| 09-25 20:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.8610715202 | $16.53 |
| 09-24 22:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.98 |
| 09-23 22:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9699999994 | $15.80 |
| 09-23 19:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.7294339623 | $7.73 |
| 09-23 18:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.86 |
| 09-22 20:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9299999984 | $17.97 |
| 09-22 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-21 22:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8439715953 | $7.00 |