namevg0
0xcdbddb743a596140a0ac67b97d04cf558464e03d
- Realised P&L
- $-65.93
- Volume
- $78.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $164.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.115 | $52.82 | −$153.87 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.040 | $39.50 | −$160.50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.029 | $28.50 | −$121.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.036 | $23.73 | −$184.28 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.030 | $19.62 | −$26.16 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.61 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.50 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.13 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.240Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-12.72at 0.010Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-13.75at 0.017Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-19.61at 0.042Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 18:41 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.009 | $22.50 |
| 07-06 18:34 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.046 | $23.00 |
| 07-03 03:48 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $17.09 |
| 07-03 03:46 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.006367892 | $15.92 |
| 07-03 03:46 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $12.01 |
| 06-30 02:46 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $7.50 |
| 06-30 02:34 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.021 | $31.50 |
| 06-29 21:46 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $16.22 |
| 06-29 21:39 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $16.50 |
| 05-02 13:24 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.02408496 | $24.08 |
| 04-24 08:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $39.60 |