Jasonlovesmoney
0xcdbbec5066252181f698e488ed809dd83752a04f
- Realised P&L
- $-64.44
- Volume
- $44.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.715 | $1.3k | +$134.75 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes | 0.529 | 0.575 | $143.43 | +$11.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.68at 0.298Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
- +$13.60at 0.259Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
- +$6.23at 0.006Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$5.94at 0.059Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- +$5.31at 0.416Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 10:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.63 | $319.25 |
| 10-09 17:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $166.74 |
| 10-09 17:32 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $173.41 |
| 10-09 17:30 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $52.54 |
| 10-09 17:30 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $20.59 |
| 10-09 17:29 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $98.29 |
| 10-09 17:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $35.00 |
| 10-09 17:28 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.38 |
| 10-09 17:28 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $11.21 |
| 10-09 17:28 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.24 | $35.52 |
| 10-09 17:27 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $25.30 |
| 10-09 17:27 | Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $14.29 |
| 10-09 17:27 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $7.59 |
| 10-09 17:27 | Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.0062239724 | $1.01 |
| 10-09 17:26 | Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.0048177506 | $0.88 |