PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Madshake

0xcdb7f4afc9f5504a37b9fea4196aad379e275e2a

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$329.9k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5230.506$3.9k$130.95
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28? · No0.0640.000$0.00$320.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$96.81
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$200.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 2? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00$100.00
Spread: Spain (-3.5) · Spain0.3500.000$0.00$500.00
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.7010.000$0.00$2.1k
Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$1000.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 12? · No0.9750.000$0.00$2.0k
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$192.00
Israel strikes Iran by October 31? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00$300.00
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.0k
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$4.5k
Will France win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$50.54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 07:52Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5235400604$4.0k
06-17 14:06Spread: Portugal (-2.5)BUY0.2999999997$500.00
06-15 11:57Spread: Spain (-3.5)BUY0.3499999997$500.00
06-11 08:52Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.72$5.0k
06-11 08:48Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.109$2.0k
06-11 08:48Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$300.00
05-18 06:49Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?BUY0.15$1.50
05-18 06:48Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?BUY0.027$1.08
05-16 22:38Will France win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.022946409$25.69
05-16 22:32Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.037198765$42.11
05-15 15:08Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.67$2.0k
05-14 11:18Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.5552120433$894.18
05-14 10:50Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0588105434$311.70
05-14 10:48Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.679458$2.0k
05-14 10:47Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.51$19.28