Madshake
0xcdb7f4afc9f5504a37b9fea4196aad379e275e2a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $329.9k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.9kat 0.270US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.675Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.720Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.8kat 0.655US military action against Iran before July?
- +$923.08at 0.520Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 07:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5235400604 | $4.0k |
| 06-17 14:06 | Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2999999997 | $500.00 |
| 06-15 11:57 | Spread: Spain (-3.5) | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $500.00 |
| 06-11 08:52 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.0k |
| 06-11 08:48 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.109 | $2.0k |
| 06-11 08:48 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $300.00 |
| 05-18 06:49 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 05-18 06:48 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.08 |
| 05-16 22:38 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.022946409 | $25.69 |
| 05-16 22:32 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.037198765 | $42.11 |
| 05-15 15:08 | Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.0k |
| 05-14 11:18 | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5552120433 | $894.18 |
| 05-14 10:50 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0588105434 | $311.70 |
| 05-14 10:48 | Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.679458 | $2.0k |
| 05-14 10:47 | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $19.28 |