0xcdb3dca17253ddd4c4160a7888fcfb3371ecbeee
0xcdb3dca17253ddd4c4160a7888fcfb3371ecbeee
- Realised P&L
- $22.82
- Volume
- $60.80
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $2.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar37.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Williams: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.215 | $2.69 | −$3.56 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) · Avalanche | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) · Kings | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.62 |
| Spread: Lions (-4.5) · Lions | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.81 |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils · Arthur Fils | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.31at 0.500Red Wings vs. Kraken
- +$9.62at 0.500Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Berrettini
- +$5.43at 0.500Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$5.10at 0.500Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Rinky Hijikata
- +$4.81at 0.500Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 21:01 | Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $4.90 |
| 10-19 03:57 | Cowboys vs. Packers | SELL | 0.999 | $11.23 |
| 10-19 02:23 | Cowboys vs. Packers | BUY | 0.79 | $8.88 |