0xcdb1e752131b568cd1b3d7799e9503e5ddd8cddb
- Realised P&L
- $-248.35
- Volume
- $53.0k
- Markets traded
- 614
- Open portfolio
- $499.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded614
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.020 | $499.52 | −$0.47 |
| UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) · Daniel Santos | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Stars vs. Wild · Wild | 0.543 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.92 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · Boston Red Sox | 0.429 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.64 |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) · Thunder | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.641 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.18 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) · Timberwolves | 0.535 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.07 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.457 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.13 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets · Minnesota Twins | 0.297 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.62 |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning · Lightning | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$381.33at 0.420Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Tatjana Maria vs Elsa Jacquemot
- +$143.44at 0.388Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?
- +$136.67at 0.180Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$111.70at 0.372Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres
- +$106.11at 0.377Lakers vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 22:36 | UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 21:34 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.6799999966 | $8.00 |
| 05-15 20:16 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 20:15 | LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 17:00 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 0.92 | $8.00 |
| 05-15 02:35 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 02:34 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 22:35 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 21:35 | Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 21:22 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 18:36 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $8.00 |
| 05-14 18:21 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $8.00 |
| 05-14 14:47 | Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 14:47 | Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 23:45 | Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |