PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcDB0254422C3F95922094650D8dB94CbE0f13070-1759730234333

0xcdb0254422c3f95922094650d8db94cbe0f13070

Realised P&L
$63.59
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$75.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.580$49.15−$0.85
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.470$16.21+$6.21
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.6700.695$10.37+$0.37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.0290.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No0.5930.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2? · No0.0790.000$0.00−$6.00
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.2750.000$0.00−$25.00
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025? · Yes0.4960.000$0.00−$70.75
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 16:16Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.27$15.48
10-18 16:16Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.6770041417$14.71
10-15 20:04Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?SELL0.6453211707$16.98
10-15 20:03Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?BUY0.7599999848$10.00
10-15 20:03Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?BUY0.7599999848$10.00
10-15 20:02Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
10-15 19:03Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.459999988$10.00
10-15 19:02Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-15 19:01Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.589999998$50.00
10-15 19:00Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.2615440076$15.00
05-21 14:55Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$14.69
05-21 14:55Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3$16.66
03-03 14:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0290000002$5.00
02-27 14:47Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27?SELL0.9474002812$128.02
02-26 20:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27?BUY0.3699999957$50.00