PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

adam3113

0xcdaecc4228636b62bacf053fce2eee34a95acbe4

Realised P&L
$-38.79
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$787.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · Yes0.4600.540$305.45+$45.45
Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · Yes0.2540.375$232.99+$75.24
Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · Yes0.7120.820$218.95+$28.95
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2800.191$25.82−$12.12
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal0.3920.300$3.83−$1.17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$13.00
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$10.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.7200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 17:27Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.3921568627$5.00
10-18 22:43Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.7115734717$190.00
10-18 22:27Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.3799999972$30.00
10-18 22:26Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.4596464258$260.00
10-18 22:17Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.2569169955$50.00
10-18 21:57Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.2235871628$77.75
10-18 21:51Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.268999999$30.00
07-20 22:47Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3309999777$7.94
06-14 21:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.7199999856$10.00
06-14 21:09Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.85$10.00
06-13 21:33Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5899999896$13.00
06-12 21:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.164$1.48
06-12 21:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSELL0.1$0.47
06-12 21:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.24$1.20
06-10 18:23Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.62$6.20