PolyBot

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Traders

0xcda9fedce0c96cf7658c216665e0b49a7f3891f6

0xcda9fedce0c96cf7658c216665e0b49a7f3891f6

Realised P&L
$23.79
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
444
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded444
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.7280.998$272.77+$73.79
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? · Yes0.7000.890$138.30+$29.60
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.6200.705$130.05+$15.59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6580.705$106.60+$7.15
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? · Yes0.3480.505$103.55+$32.07
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3230.525$96.45+$37.10
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? · Yes0.3220.420$95.25+$22.28
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? · Yes0.7890.855$88.82+$6.87
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? · No0.3310.430$73.63+$16.89
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? · Yes0.7010.650$70.10−$5.52
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? · No0.3190.495$67.77+$24.16
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? · No0.8100.855$64.77+$3.41
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5960.705$63.52+$9.86
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · No0.5000.695$48.23+$13.52
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6840.735$46.50+$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 09:05Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.719999935$1.33
11-01 08:25Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.6809833987$30.18
11-01 08:23Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.6899999991$98.15
10-31 19:38Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.7699999907$5.78
10-29 20:35Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.7699999995$99.50
10-29 17:49Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?BUY0.4$1.09
10-28 17:57Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?BUY0.3899999964$16.23
10-28 17:57Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?BUY0.389999995$21.95
10-27 19:08Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.2929999621$1.09
10-27 15:53Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6389811621$75.26
10-27 15:53Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6299999879$17.67
10-25 23:14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?BUY0.7899999937$23.90
10-25 22:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5975356453$99.50
10-25 22:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6579999787$16.26
10-25 22:28Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.66199999$11.21