0xcda9fedce0c96cf7658c216665e0b49a7f3891f6
0xcda9fedce0c96cf7658c216665e0b49a7f3891f6
- Realised P&L
- $23.79
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 444
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded444
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.67at 0.607Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$103.44at 0.426Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$20.06at 0.427CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5
- +$20.02at 0.199CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5
- +$19.75at 0.342GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:05 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.719999935 | $1.33 |
| 11-01 08:25 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6809833987 | $30.18 |
| 11-01 08:23 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6899999991 | $98.15 |
| 10-31 19:38 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.7699999907 | $5.78 |
| 10-29 20:35 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7699999995 | $99.50 |
| 10-29 17:49 | Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.09 |
| 10-28 17:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.3899999964 | $16.23 |
| 10-28 17:57 | Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.389999995 | $21.95 |
| 10-27 19:08 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2929999621 | $1.09 |
| 10-27 15:53 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6389811621 | $75.26 |
| 10-27 15:53 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999879 | $17.67 |
| 10-25 23:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | BUY | 0.7899999937 | $23.90 |
| 10-25 22:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5975356453 | $99.50 |
| 10-25 22:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6579999787 | $16.26 |
| 10-25 22:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.66199999 | $11.21 |