0xcda6476640016027b6773d29721fc7f80d542b01
0xcda6476640016027b6773d29721fc7f80d542b01
- Realised P&L
- $0.99
- Volume
- $33.99
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $17.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.675 | 0.815 | $13.28 | +$2.28 |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.460 | $4.38 | −$3.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.99at 0.879Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 10:27 | Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | BUY | 0.8399999958 | $8.00 |
| 07-28 19:50 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.6752791789 | $11.00 |
| 07-05 19:25 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.869999989 | $7.11 |