0xcda4d0eab5141b7f6432ddcc84dd3cc23df870f8
- Realised P&L
- $-4.97
- Volume
- $177.75
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $58.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 20%-25%? · No | 0.750 | 0.720 | $14.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? · No | 0.770 | 0.685 | $13.70 | −$1.70 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? · No | 0.630 | 0.585 | $11.70 | −$0.90 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 25%-30%? · No | 0.810 | 0.710 | $6.78 | −$0.95 |
| Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season? · No | 0.805 | 0.777 | $4.86 | −$0.17 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September? · No | 0.760 | 0.730 | $3.91 | −$0.16 |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? · No | 0.800 | 0.710 | $3.59 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.640Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 4?
- +$0.00at 0.750Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.0 and 38.5 million views on day 4?
- +$0.00at 0.730Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 4?
- +$-0.05at 0.640Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:15 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.69 |