Freddy-n-Jonny
0xcd9eae900a7b1f78a4951b7ddbec01afcccfbff4
- Realised P&L
- $-11.0k
- Volume
- $347.8k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.055 | $3.6k | −$4.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.341Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$206.80at 0.968Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$97.48at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
- +$71.84at 0.594Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
- +$25.52at 0.032Trump out as President by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 13:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.6k |
| 02-10 20:07 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $229.95 |
| 02-06 08:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | SELL | 0.6176858532 | $1.9k |
| 02-05 21:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | BUY | 0.593974846 | $1.8k |
| 01-29 07:54 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $662.52 |
| 01-21 21:00 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.04 | $18.18 |
| 01-21 20:59 | Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.968 | $673.15 |
| 01-13 07:12 | Will Joana Amaral Dias qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.9989241165 | $9.0k |
| 01-11 17:06 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1111351676 | $103.69 |
| 01-11 17:05 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $75.00 |
| 01-10 17:03 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.0318678616 | $100.00 |
| 01-10 17:02 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1482958434 | $1000.00 |
| 01-06 22:16 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $99.96 |
| 01-06 08:09 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07017168 | $87.71 |
| 01-06 07:07 | Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.4678377527 | $5.8k |