0xcd97eb28991be0a7838d60c1b950d9ce37279b3f
- Realised P&L
- $-112.19
- Volume
- $831.59
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $70.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes | 0.460 | 0.815 | $24.80 | +$10.80 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.972 | $22.59 | +$2.59 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $19.08 | −$30.83 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.524 | 0.065 | $3.10 | −$21.90 |
| Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.055 | $1.12 | −$3.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.663Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week? (January 25)
- +$1.33at 0.790Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
- +$0.44at 0.968Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
- +$0.22at 0.989Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.951Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 07:55 | Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999706 | $4.90 |
| 05-26 07:49 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999969 | $40.00 |
| 05-26 07:29 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999876 | $9.91 |
| 02-07 22:56 | Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.1965703861 | $11.00 |
| 02-07 19:50 | Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.44 |
| 02-05 23:12 | Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.9683083495 | $14.00 |
| 02-05 23:09 | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 01-31 08:08 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.15 |
| 01-23 01:28 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 01-21 18:15 | Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 01-18 16:57 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.4599999915 | $14.00 |
| 01-18 16:51 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 16:51 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 16:50 | Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week? (January 25) | BUY | 0.6627708978 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 16:49 | Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |