LoMal
0xcd96ebc142f1102aa1d26af137fd8ab7d5e5bbcb
- Realised P&L
- $-99.60
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $36.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? · Yes | 0.676 | 0.695 | $20.57 | +$0.57 |
| Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes | 0.546 | 0.565 | $10.69 | +$0.35 |
| Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.325 | $5.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech? · No | 0.801 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.05at 0.560Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2?
- +$-0.13at 0.390US recession in 2025?
- +$-12.00at 0.013Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:49 | Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.5459999982 | $10.34 |
| 09-24 01:48 | Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 01:47 | Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.6756756757 | $20.00 |
| 05-01 20:30 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech? | BUY | 0.8010659609 | $89.53 |
| 05-01 18:14 | Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May? | BUY | 0.002 | $9.00 |
| 05-01 18:07 | US recession in 2025? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.87 |
| 04-30 10:54 | US recession in 2025? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 10:49 | Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2? | SELL | 0.6306392227 | $98.66 |
| 04-28 14:41 | Bitcoin above $94,000 on May 2? | BUY | 0.5599999992 | $87.61 |
| 04-28 10:28 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28? | BUY | 0.0133020773 | $12.00 |