bcnboy
0xcd8f046d7e9375efee96026473dd656ec78c1f24
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $545.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,389
- Open portfolio
- $519.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,389
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.88at 0.459Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 23?
- +$22.04at 0.978Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on July 25?
- +$15.00at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $122k November 3-9?
- +$15.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110,000 on November 14?
- +$14.80at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 10-19 15:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.96 |
| 10-18 17:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-17 14:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 10-16 17:59 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.27 |
| 10-16 17:59 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $5.70 |
| 10-15 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 10-14 20:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 10-13 17:52 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $18.80 |
| 10-12 15:55 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 10-12 15:54 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.834 | $8.46 |
| 10-12 07:44 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $30.08 |
| 10-12 07:44 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $29.14 |
| 10-11 05:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-10 05:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |