PolyBot

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Traders

alleserojje

0xcd8e300fc6dfb65a74a55731f66d47da18c0435c

Realised P&L
$-230.32
Volume
$213.7k
Markets traded
6,746
Open portfolio
$63.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,746
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$63.49$63.37
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$0.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00$1.89
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$1.30
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00$1.44
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$1.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$1.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.0530.000$0.00$3.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00$0.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$2.08
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$1.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 21:46Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.2$8.59
09-01 17:42Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.2207129122$1.00
09-01 17:40Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$5.00
09-01 17:38Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.2132609253$5.00
09-01 17:37Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$5.00
08-28 22:37Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$66.99
08-28 22:36Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$36.07
08-28 22:36Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$13.93
07-10 20:55Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?SELL0.91$20.04
07-10 20:22Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.4899999805$10.79
07-07 17:56Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?SELL0.04$0.59
07-07 17:49Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.321$5.01
07-07 17:48Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.32$5.00
07-07 17:48Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5SELL0.99$10.10
07-07 17:45Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5BUY0.4899999804$5.00