PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xcd8cff923f86e8bf0be310733431e6022e25a8e1

Realised P&L
$-16.25
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$56.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8600.920$14.72+$0.96
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8300.925$9.25+$0.95
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9780.971$5.83$0.04
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1690.105$5.04$3.09
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9400.981$4.90+$0.20
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.8500.945$4.72+$0.47
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.1350.134$2.81$0.02
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4730.091$2.09$8.79
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1200.128$1.66+$0.10
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0600.034$1.19$0.91
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$1.17$0.45
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2620.075$0.97$2.43
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$0.78$0.54
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2000.095$0.67$0.73
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2100.075$0.38$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 22:17Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.056$1.06
07-01 21:40Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.886$4.43
06-23 00:12Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.113$1.02
06-22 23:28Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.12
06-22 23:22Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$1.08
06-22 23:07China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$1.32
06-22 22:47Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.8$4.00
06-22 22:32Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.76
06-22 21:36Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.44
06-22 21:26Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$1.44
06-22 21:20Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.60
06-22 18:52China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$6.30
06-22 18:46Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$1.26
06-22 15:56Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.06$1.02
06-22 15:43Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$1.62