0xcd8cff923f86e8bf0be310733431e6022e25a8e1
- Realised P&L
- $-16.25
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $56.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.48at 0.647Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.48at 0.810Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.33at 0.584Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.836Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$0.18at 0.902Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 22:17 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.056 | $1.06 |
| 07-01 21:40 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.886 | $4.43 |
| 06-23 00:12 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.113 | $1.02 |
| 06-22 23:28 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 06-22 23:22 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 06-22 23:07 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.32 |
| 06-22 22:47 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 06-22 22:32 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.76 |
| 06-22 21:36 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.44 |
| 06-22 21:26 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.44 |
| 06-22 21:20 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 06-22 18:52 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.30 |
| 06-22 18:46 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.26 |
| 06-22 15:56 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 06-22 15:43 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.62 |