Willie3124
0xcd887283fb57d5c52547013ab4f39fe16ece4272
- Realised P&L
- $-9.55
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $35.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $16.29 | −$0.01 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $10.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $9.29 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.67at 0.003Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.81at 0.994Will Elon tweet 395–409 times August 8–August 15?
- +$0.55at 0.996Will Shrinking win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?
- +$0.15at 0.997Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.13at 0.999Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:43 | Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $9.30 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.30 |
| 09-13 18:18 | Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.996 | $14.66 |
| 09-12 15:08 | Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.70 |
| 09-08 19:57 | Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.09 |
| 09-07 13:24 | Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.10 |
| 09-04 22:06 | Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $17.47 |
| 09-04 00:18 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.10 |
| 08-31 02:06 | Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.50 |
| 08-26 21:30 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.89 |
| 08-26 21:28 | Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $22.47 |
| 08-24 10:56 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.90 |
| 08-10 12:16 | Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.9979999635 | $22.50 |
| 07-29 18:13 | Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.998 | $21.88 |
| 07-25 13:13 | Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.90 |