settmen228
0xcd871810fa011f5e0eb7280c3da470a0498754a2
- Realised P&L
- $-28.34
- Volume
- $592.71
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $37.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5) · Natus Vincere | 0.780 | 0.815 | $37.97 | +$1.63 |
| Will Kyle Freeman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
| Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.33 |
| Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.89at 0.157Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
- +$3.77at 0.728Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?
- +$2.22at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$0.92at 0.575Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$0.75at 0.400Counter-Strike: ReThink vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 15:07 | Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.7799999957 | $36.34 |
| 06-02 10:14 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.990999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 18:28 | Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party? | BUY | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 06-01 18:00 | Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 06-01 17:57 | Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 06-01 17:54 | Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 06-01 17:54 | Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 06-01 17:20 | Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.136 | $1.05 |
| 06-01 17:18 | Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.152 | $2.99 |
| 06-01 17:02 | Will Annie Andrews be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 17:01 | Will Annie Andrews be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 17:01 | Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 17:01 | Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 17:00 | Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 17:00 | Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.67 |