PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

gift

0xcd846d41c85f897341ea6ae1fbcc001a335c4f9c

Realised P&L
$-272.45
Volume
$123.1k
Markets traded
470
Open portfolio
$0.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded470
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1700.095$0.56−$0.44
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · No0.3120.000$0.00−$8.40
Knicks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.3000.000$0.00−$3.09
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cincinnati Reds0.4100.000$0.00−$3.01
Pistons vs. Pacers · Pacers0.2100.000$0.00−$1.85
76ers vs. Nets · Nets0.2800.000$0.00−$2.88
Clippers vs. Cavaliers · Clippers0.2100.000$0.00−$2.73
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00−$2.30
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.5600.000$0.00−$50.00
Lakers vs. Jazz · Jazz0.2100.000$0.00−$2.33
Warriors vs. Jazz · Jazz0.2800.000$0.00−$9.17
Jazz vs. Warriors · Jazz0.1200.000$0.00−$1.32
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners0.5500.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 08:05U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?SELL0.84$4.20
07-02 08:05Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?SELL0.94$4.70
07-02 08:05Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?SELL0.275$1.38
07-02 08:05Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?SELL0.33$1.65
07-02 08:05Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?SELL0.575$4.23
07-02 08:05Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.6$4.43
07-02 08:052026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.39$3.06
07-02 08:05Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.834$7.06
07-02 08:05Another pandemic before GTA VI?SELL0.5$4.57
07-02 08:05Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?SELL0.5$5.00
07-02 08:05Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.13$1.30
07-02 08:05Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?SELL0.68$6.80
07-02 08:05Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?SELL0.288$3.84
07-02 08:05Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?SELL0.2$3.00
07-02 08:05Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?SELL0.25$3.75