PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HereToDonate

0xcd78a45224a50b298c4873b8d2dd9a3797b4e86c

Realised P&L
$-32.04
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
599
Open portfolio
$32.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded599
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 06:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.3799999793$2.20
09-18 06:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.17$1.41
09-18 06:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 19?BUY0.2899999899$2.29
09-18 06:10Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.3099999763$2.09
09-18 03:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.3699999799$3.86
09-18 03:10Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18?SELL0.1427533875$2.63
09-18 00:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.4099999628$3.86
09-18 00:10Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18?BUY0.2075880759$3.83
09-18 00:10Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.2199999989$3.83
09-17 21:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.29$1.45
09-17 21:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.3599999813$3.85
09-17 21:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.3$3.84
09-17 21:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18?BUY0.2999999689$1.93
09-17 20:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.33$3.23
09-17 20:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.44$4.40