HereToDonate
0xcd78a45224a50b298c4873b8d2dd9a3797b4e86c
- Realised P&L
- $-32.04
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 599
- Open portfolio
- $32.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded599
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.47at 0.402Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$7.28at 0.402Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
- +$7.25at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$7.17at 0.412Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
- +$6.98at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3799999793 | $2.20 |
| 09-18 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.41 |
| 09-18 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.2899999899 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3099999763 | $2.09 |
| 09-18 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3699999799 | $3.86 |
| 09-18 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.1427533875 | $2.63 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4099999628 | $3.86 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2075880759 | $3.83 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2199999989 | $3.83 |
| 09-17 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-17 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3599999813 | $3.85 |
| 09-17 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.84 |
| 09-17 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2999999689 | $1.93 |
| 09-17 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.23 |
| 09-17 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |