PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcd787ed158bb7b52b6e60e90ab907e55fdace47a

Realised P&L
$22.03
Volume
$300.89
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$10.89

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.2700.720$5.33+$3.33
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? · Up0.5100.495$1.94$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.7500.725$1.93$0.07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.2200.185$1.68$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:09SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.5099999516$2.00
09-17 17:07Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.219999978$2.00
09-17 08:25Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
09-16 11:33Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
09-16 03:33Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
09-14 18:46Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-12 07:52Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-09 08:30Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-09 00:05Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.7199999424$2.00
09-08 15:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
09-08 06:45Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5899999145$2.00
09-07 21:39Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-07 12:52Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
09-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
09-03 10:48Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.2699999163$2.00