PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

sellerslindsey

0xcd773151ad179ae9a3b080872f71c96a19d70b6d

Realised P&L
$-5.07
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$4.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18? · No0.9991.000$1.82+$0.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 27? · No0.9981.000$1.63+$0.00
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? · No0.9951.000$1.51+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 14:00Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28?BUY0.995$1.50
06-26 18:10Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 27?BUY0.998$1.63
05-16 20:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?BUY0.999$1.82
04-23 17:03Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?BUY0.9979999514$1.48
03-02 08:18Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on March 3?BUY0.995$2.35
02-20 06:19Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20?BUY0.9939999989$1.73
02-12 08:50Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?BUY0.998$1.56
02-10 09:19Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on February 10?BUY0.9889999949$1.73
01-27 14:39Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.998$1.0k
01-27 14:20Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.999$1.0k
01-27 14:18Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.994$1.0k
01-27 14:05Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.995$1.0k
01-27 14:03Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$1.0k
01-27 13:50Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$1.0k
01-27 13:49Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.982$1.0k