GrimFable
0xcd6d8ff026e08b7fe0faf47d877e18d2af9375c2
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $712.2k
- Markets traded
- 775
- Open portfolio
- $34.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded775
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.674Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
- +$1.0kat 0.645Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner
- +$750.75at 0.769Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
- +$689.09at 0.778Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
- +$676.71at 0.750Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:52 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs SOLID - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 11-01 22:51 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs SOLID - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.93 | $23.25 |
| 11-01 20:55 | Counter-Strike: Monte vs prodigy - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $457.54 |
| 11-01 20:26 | Counter-Strike: Monte vs prodigy - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.8395633188 | $384.52 |
| 11-01 20:02 | Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6390323225 | $350.00 |
| 11-01 19:54 | Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.55 | $322.04 |
| 11-01 19:38 | Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $583.50 |
| 11-01 19:34 | Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8266635608 | $484.04 |
| 11-01 18:36 | Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7149835924 | $417.61 |
| 11-01 18:20 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8199999997 | $400.00 |
| 11-01 18:19 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.2025225676 | $153.91 |
| 11-01 18:17 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $521.54 |
| 11-01 18:08 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6579384157 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 17:12 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7556105322 | $394.48 |
| 11-01 16:14 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.75 | $500.00 |