PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

95l

0xcd68d3d7ae2ed0fde6bb989cbe47a3b96e7acdd3

Realised P&L
$-444.44
Volume
$98.3k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026? · Yes0.7621.000$839.00+$199.68
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · No0.9991.000$649.00+$0.65
Will Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week? · No0.8701.000$552.00+$71.76
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%? · No0.4221.000$264.00+$152.59
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.7460.940$98.70+$20.35
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.280$74.48$2.66
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5510.377$51.58$23.91
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4080.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$93.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 10:15Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?SELL0.95$65.55
04-11 17:04Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.6$297.60
04-11 17:02Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.6$288.00
04-10 22:51Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?BUY0.78$53.82
04-07 17:44Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.84$819.84
04-07 16:40Will Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.87$480.24
03-31 02:04Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?SELL0.21$4.20
03-31 02:03Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?SELL0.21$108.15
03-30 16:11Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?SELL0.56$410.48
03-30 16:10Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?SELL0.56$420.00
03-30 16:07Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?SELL0.56$429.52
03-30 13:49Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.78$90.48
03-30 13:47Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.78$247.26
03-30 13:46Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.78$322.14
03-30 12:33Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?BUY0.62$1.4k