95l
0xcd68d3d7ae2ed0fde6bb989cbe47a3b96e7acdd3
- Realised P&L
- $-444.44
- Volume
- $98.3k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026? · Yes | 0.762 | 1.000 | $839.00 | +$199.68 |
| Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $649.00 | +$0.65 |
| Will Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week? · No | 0.870 | 1.000 | $552.00 | +$71.76 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%? · No | 0.422 | 1.000 | $264.00 | +$152.59 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.746 | 0.940 | $98.70 | +$20.35 |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.290 | 0.280 | $74.48 | −$2.66 |
| Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.551 | 0.377 | $51.58 | −$23.91 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.408 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$303.14at 0.270Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?
- +$282.73at 0.510Solana Up or Down - February 21, 3PM ET
- +$170.58at 0.290Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?
- +$127.92at 0.820Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
- +$109.06at 0.590Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 10:15 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15? | SELL | 0.95 | $65.55 |
| 04-11 17:04 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.6 | $297.60 |
| 04-11 17:02 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.6 | $288.00 |
| 04-10 22:51 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15? | BUY | 0.78 | $53.82 |
| 04-07 17:44 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.84 | $819.84 |
| 04-07 16:40 | Will Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.87 | $480.24 |
| 03-31 02:04 | Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 03-31 02:03 | Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.21 | $108.15 |
| 03-30 16:11 | Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17? | SELL | 0.56 | $410.48 |
| 03-30 16:10 | Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17? | SELL | 0.56 | $420.00 |
| 03-30 16:07 | Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17? | SELL | 0.56 | $429.52 |
| 03-30 13:49 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $90.48 |
| 03-30 13:47 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $247.26 |
| 03-30 13:46 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $322.14 |
| 03-30 12:33 | Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.4k |