PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcD5E1CB569a2aAd5C54B4b65eAaE585481a1A09C-1758474305629

0xcd5e1cb569a2aad5c54b4b65eaae585481a1a09c

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$745.2k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$100.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1210.041$53.62−$106.38
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3220.038$11.82−$88.18
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.1050.057$10.76−$9.24
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.002$7.50−$32.50
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · Yes0.0800.035$4.38−$5.63
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0580.009$2.94−$17.06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.1700.021$2.41−$17.59
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1430.017$2.37−$17.63
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? · Yes0.1100.041$2.21−$3.79
Will a hurricane form by May 31? · No0.9401.000$1.06+$0.06
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.4700.400$0.85−$0.15
Fed abolished before 2027? · Yes0.0490.015$0.32−$0.68
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by January 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$20.00
Canada recession in 2025? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-12 23:07Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.798155367$100.00
02-12 23:03Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?BUY0.08$1.00
02-11 21:46US strike on Mexico by March 31?BUY0.1195219114$100.00
02-11 21:44US strike on Mexico by March 31?BUY0.1192250373$100.00
02-09 01:54Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?BUY0.0668999815$20.00
02-09 01:53Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?BUY0.1581333216$100.00
02-08 23:40Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.3299999922$20.00
02-08 15:44Don Lemon sentenced to prison?BUY0.1239472813$100.00
02-08 09:32Fed abolished before 2027?BUY0.048999954$1.00
02-08 09:31Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionBUY0.0811814574$20.00
02-08 09:31Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?BUY0.1089999139$1.00
02-08 09:26Will a hurricane form by May 31?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
02-08 09:05Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?BUY0.8000553078$20.00
02-08 09:05Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?BUY0.6832600952$20.00
02-08 08:56Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?BUY0.119999999$100.00