lampo
0xcd5c5f3470de3379146308823445b40431b8f0a4
- Realised P&L
- $-609.65
- Volume
- $87.0k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$236.71at 0.690Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$203.00at 0.685US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$121.71at 0.818US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$87.25at 0.690US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$69.14at 0.810US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:28 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $5.79 |
| 09-14 17:27 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9479999957 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 17:25 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0165323955 | $7.30 |
| 08-30 17:38 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.289999971 | $7.00 |
| 08-30 17:33 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0247324001 | $4.82 |
| 08-20 18:38 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2143442314 | $343.72 |
| 08-20 18:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $356.96 |
| 08-15 08:38 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999777 | $2.60 |
| 08-15 08:23 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.89 |
| 07-23 17:33 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.052 | $126.00 |
| 07-23 17:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $300.00 |
| 07-23 17:28 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.7392878645 | $430.76 |
| 07-05 19:13 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0433879866 | $97.20 |
| 07-05 19:08 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.824 | $98.34 |
| 07-04 10:51 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.034097934 | $140.00 |