0xcd5A564E9fd041354834bF1713Bf93766F781Cf3-1774981908755
0xcd5a564e9fd041354834bf1713bf93766f781cf3
- Realised P&L
- $82.60
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $24.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.018 | $24.89 | −$201.13 |
| Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? · No | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.60at 0.656Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 14:30 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.1680054798 | $226.02 |
| 03-31 18:49 | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BUY | 0.0484183324 | $22.00 |
| 03-31 18:45 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.6565906527 | $200.00 |