jinhl
0xcd4fb18bc24191678cd51d6c38852751c9d53824
- Realised P&L
- $-130.92
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $130.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.975 | $130.65 | +$0.67 |
| Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7? · No | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.42at 0.996Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.24at 0.982Trump out as President by April 30?
- +$1.24at 0.956Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$1.22at 0.987Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
- +$0.86at 0.993Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:53 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $129.98 |
| 09-16 06:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $129.48 |
| 08-11 12:27 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.954 | $127.84 |
| 08-03 07:45 | Will Solana dip to $0 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $127.87 |
| 07-30 12:33 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July? | BUY | 0.993 | $127.10 |
| 07-17 07:48 | Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of July 13 above $285? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-09 08:04 | Will XRP dip to $0.70 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.95 |
| 07-09 08:04 | Will XRP dip to $0.70 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.998 | $68.86 |
| 07-09 08:04 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-09 08:03 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $127.06 |
| 06-30 12:40 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $125.87 |
| 06-06 08:03 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 06-06 08:03 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 05-30 12:49 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 05-01 12:18 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $450-$460 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.94 |