Aleksaa
0xcd42b701493919ff1563c2ca3b2c8b0d1af0a3fa
- Realised P&L
- $-642.08
- Volume
- $116.9k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.048 | $2.6k | +$343.38 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.097 | $2.4k | +$598.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.35at 0.230US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$181.09at 0.051Will Base launch a token in 2025?
- +$67.11at 0.640Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
- +$24.20at 0.081Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$13.56at 0.590Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 21:07 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.078 | $101.40 |
| 09-12 21:07 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.037 | $16.24 |
| 09-06 20:29 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.079 | $102.70 |
| 09-06 20:28 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.037 | $103.60 |
| 08-29 08:44 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.077 | $107.80 |
| 08-29 08:44 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.033 | $102.30 |
| 08-23 21:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.075 | $105.00 |
| 08-23 21:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.038 | $102.60 |
| 08-15 09:13 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.075 | $101.25 |
| 08-15 09:13 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.042 | $100.80 |
| 08-08 20:39 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.077 | $100.10 |
| 08-08 20:38 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.043 | $101.05 |
| 07-25 18:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.087 | $104.40 |
| 07-25 18:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.049 | $102.90 |
| 07-19 16:16 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.068 | $102.00 |