Aleksaa
0xcd42b701493919ff1563c2ca3b2c8b0d1af0a3fa
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $92.7k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.046 | $1.8k | +$152.44 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.086 | $1.5k | +$253.63 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.35at 0.230US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$181.09at 0.051Will Base launch a token in 2025?
- +$67.11at 0.640Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
- +$24.20at 0.081Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$13.56at 0.590Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 18:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.087 | $104.40 |
| 07-25 18:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.049 | $102.90 |
| 07-19 16:16 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.068 | $102.00 |
| 07-19 16:15 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.067 | $1.27 |
| 07-19 16:15 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.051 | $102.00 |
| 06-07 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 19:19 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0779999993 | $93.66 |
| 06-06 19:19 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0549999995 | $100.00 |
| 06-06 13:02 | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.1799999994 | $222.00 |
| 06-02 18:58 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.35 |
| 05-31 11:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0797713751 | $97.43 |
| 05-31 11:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0584110698 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 18:55 | Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.1 | $1.39 |
| 05-26 22:15 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0839999987 | $56.35 |
| 05-24 20:06 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0870519771 | $100.00 |