Icarvs
0xcd3ae2ffd28ef186ce714f15bb7476b01e0cd194
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $206.8k
- Markets traded
- 5,346
- Open portfolio
- $37.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,346
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.350Will Trump say "tax" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?
- +$1.0kat 0.420Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
- +$1.0kat 0.283Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
- +$756.01at 0.286Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
- +$698.28at 0.534Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 27-October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:55 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $2.04 |
| 11-02 02:05 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 11-02 01:15 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 11-02 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 11-02 01:05 | BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $1.93 |
| 11-02 00:50 | BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 11-02 00:35 | BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 11-02 00:35 | Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 11-02 00:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 11-02 00:35 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.350619137 | $1.87 |
| 11-02 00:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 11-02 00:30 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 00:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 11-02 00:30 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2922720247 | $1.89 |
| 11-02 00:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |