PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcd290efda5dd9b35fce20a61b33aa82ed6d2cb29

Realised P&L
$-205.49
Volume
$22.8k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$298.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6400.570$17.10$2.10
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 1%? · No0.7600.755$12.58$0.08
Will Tampa Bay Lightning advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? · No0.7000.565$11.30$2.70
Will Aaron Jones have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6400.545$10.90$1.90
Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship? · No0.6700.605$10.89$1.17
Will Nico Collins have 874.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5400.520$10.40$0.40
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? · No0.6600.510$10.20$3.00
Will Boston College have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.5300.505$10.09$0.50
Will New York Knicks advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.7000.520$9.98$3.46
Will Texas Tech make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals? · No0.6700.495$9.90$3.50
Will Fhenix launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.5800.540$9.40$0.70
Will Edmonton Oilers advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? · No0.6500.460$9.20$3.80
Will Richards Bay be relegated from the 2026-27 South Africa Premiership? · No0.7810.441$8.81$6.81
Will Justin Allgaier win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? · No0.7100.475$8.55$4.23
Will Houston Astros advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? · No0.4600.370$7.40$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 06:53Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Philippines this month?SELL0.73$13.58
09-12 13:52Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.04$2.40
09-12 13:52Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.06$3.60
09-12 13:50Will the Democratic Party win the SC-03 House seat?SELL0.04$2.40
09-12 13:50Will the Democratic Party win the SC-03 House seat?BUY0.05$3.00
09-12 13:48Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.21$10.50
09-12 13:48Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.22$11.00
09-12 13:46Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.12$9.60
09-12 13:46Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.13$10.40
09-12 13:42Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$6.50
09-12 13:42Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$7.80
09-12 13:35Will the Democratic Party win the KY-02 House seat?SELL0.04$1.60
09-12 13:35Will the Democratic Party win the KY-02 House seat?BUY0.05$2.00
09-12 13:32Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?SELL0.2766666667$8.30
09-12 13:32Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?BUY0.29$8.70