0xCd26eA4549866eebFb8cc9db2dbE00e3FB680574-1764738764377
0xcd26ea4549866eebfb8cc9db2dbe00e3fb680574
- Realised P&L
- $-40.17
- Volume
- $176.0k
- Markets traded
- 831
- Open portfolio
- $167.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded831
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.145 | $145.00 | +$15.00 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $22.25 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$107.50at 0.440Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lions
- +$104.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$104.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$104.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 11:49 | Will PSV win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 09-13 12:28 | Will PSV win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.20 |
| 09-05 13:02 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 06-25 08:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-25 08:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-22 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 06-12 09:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 06-12 03:36 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 06-12 01:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 06-09 14:20 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 06-09 14:20 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 06-09 14:00 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.058 | $0.29 |
| 06-09 13:58 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.941 | $188.20 |
| 06-09 13:57 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.945 | $189.00 |
| 06-02 12:01 | Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks | BUY | 0.31 | $14.57 |