viegoumca
0xcd1c41c537ad27ed901a455e900a46b34cd55356
- Realised P&L
- $3.50
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $175.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.987 | $50.03 | −$0.13 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.968 | $49.09 | −$0.30 |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.980 | 0.956 | $47.77 | −$1.23 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · No | 0.941 | 0.977 | $29.01 | +$1.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.959Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.985Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.982Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$0.42at 0.981Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.25at 0.970Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 12:33 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.992 | $20.02 |