Captaindiamondhands
0xcd189d99836f5a0e5cff9220f3e1b609369db4d5
- Realised P&L
- $982.57
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $23.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.096Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$37.38at 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$12.08at 0.718Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$6.33at 0.240Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.18at 0.527Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0659999883 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2947789139 | $100.00 |
| 06-15 12:17 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.415 | $13.88 |
| 06-15 04:28 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 04:27 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2989999795 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 14:25 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 23:00 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 23:00 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February? | BUY | 0.0265982206 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 22:59 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February? | BUY | 0.0190166009 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 22:59 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February? | BUY | 0.0157059307 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 22:58 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February? | BUY | 0.0193357647 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 22:58 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.4408249031 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 23:15 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February? | BUY | 0.0999007785 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 22:30 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 22:29 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |