PolyBot

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Traders

Pm15kc

0xcd1869578d75678282bb360f828f483d5e15a458

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$34.3k
Markets traded
215
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded215
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) · Chiefs0.5000.475$950.00$50.00
Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans0.5200.525$151.44+$1.44
Spread: Bears (-5.5) · Bears0.4600.465$101.09+$1.09
76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics0.4400.000$0.00$100.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Rangers vs. Flames · Rangers0.3700.000$0.00$3.00
Wild vs. Devils · Wild0.0800.000$0.00$20.00
Saints vs. Seahawks · Saints0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Eagles vs. Buccaneers · Buccaneers0.1550.000$0.00$3.00
Falcons vs. Panthers · Falcons0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Dolphins vs. Bills · Dolphins0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Tigers vs. Red Sox · Tigers0.3200.000$0.00$3.00
Missouri State vs. New Mexico State · New Mexico State0.4480.000$0.00$90.00
Will Athletic Bilbao vs. Arsenal end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 02:49Spread: Texans (-2.5)BUY0.519999999$150.00
09-19 02:48Spread: Bears (-5.5)BUY0.4599999986$100.00
09-19 02:47Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)BUY0.5$1.0k
02-10 01:54Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?BUY0.32$16.00
02-09 19:44Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?BUY0.58$23.20
02-09 19:44Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)BUY0.32$20.00
02-09 13:33Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?BUY0.57$114.00
02-09 02:56Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.0139720545$10.00
02-09 02:55Spread: Seahawks (-14.5)BUY0.66$100.00
02-09 02:09Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)BUY0.6999118111$50.00
02-08 22:20Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.5199999938$20.00
02-08 22:20Stefon Diggs: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.2890778324$20.00
02-08 22:19Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)BUY0.4799999983$100.00
02-08 22:19Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?BUY0.0879434396$10.00
02-08 22:19Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?BUY0.050109494$10.00