Pm15kc
0xcd1869578d75678282bb360f828f483d5e15a458
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $34.3k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) · Chiefs | 0.500 | 0.475 | $950.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.520 | 0.525 | $151.44 | +$1.44 |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) · Bears | 0.460 | 0.465 | $101.09 | +$1.09 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Rangers vs. Flames · Rangers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Wild vs. Devils · Wild | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Saints vs. Seahawks · Saints | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Eagles vs. Buccaneers · Buccaneers | 0.155 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Falcons vs. Panthers · Falcons | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Dolphins vs. Bills · Dolphins | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Tigers vs. Red Sox · Tigers | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Missouri State vs. New Mexico State · New Mexico State | 0.448 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Athletic Bilbao vs. Arsenal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$927.09at 0.636Patriots vs. Broncos
- +$469.97at 0.612Oilers vs. Panthers
- +$257.01at 0.404Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$136.49at 0.468Pelicans vs. Spurs
- +$134.18at 0.162Will Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 02:49 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.519999999 | $150.00 |
| 09-19 02:48 | Spread: Bears (-5.5) | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 02:47 | Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 02-10 01:54 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 02-09 19:44 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09? | BUY | 0.58 | $23.20 |
| 02-09 19:44 | Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 13:33 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09? | BUY | 0.57 | $114.00 |
| 02-09 02:56 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.0139720545 | $10.00 |
| 02-09 02:55 | Spread: Seahawks (-14.5) | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 02:09 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.6999118111 | $50.00 |
| 02-08 22:20 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 02-08 22:20 | Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.2890778324 | $20.00 |
| 02-08 22:19 | Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) | BUY | 0.4799999983 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 22:19 | Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink? | BUY | 0.0879434396 | $10.00 |
| 02-08 22:19 | Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water? | BUY | 0.050109494 | $10.00 |