jtgznhjfhjdrhjerh
0xcd14e3bf3ab4477dd585218813169708077a0a95
- Realised P&L
- $-356.18
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $99.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 21-27? · No | 0.987 | 0.991 | $99.05 | +$0.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? · No | 0.975 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.75 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? · No | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.94 |
| Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.22at 0.945Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 6-12?
- +$12.35at 0.952Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
- +$10.44at 0.990Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$10.23at 0.880Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?
- +$7.33at 0.951Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 11:25 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 11-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $248.73 |
| 04-19 13:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | SELL | 0.973997341 | $337.00 |
| 04-04 11:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $312.64 |
| 03-27 10:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.987 | $292.15 |
| 03-20 13:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March? | BUY | 0.991 | $278.47 |
| 03-19 12:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $278.72 |
| 03-19 09:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $278.44 |
| 03-18 13:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18? | BUY | 0.979 | $54.81 |
| 03-18 08:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $221.78 |
| 03-16 12:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $275.72 |
| 03-15 16:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.999 | $219.78 |
| 03-14 12:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March? | BUY | 0.972 | $274.10 |
| 03-12 12:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.995 | $178.10 |
| 03-12 09:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.994 | $95.42 |
| 03-11 14:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.983 | $94.35 |