crct
0xcd141c13dd32d7705a6e3eefa4f098b255771481
- Realised P&L
- $-10.85
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $8.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.97at 0.310US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$33.70at 0.040US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$26.12at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$25.71at 0.280US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$15.00at 0.100Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.59 | $36.88 |
| 04-30 19:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 08:59 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 17:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.0330000003 | $4.00 |
| 04-19 18:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 04-18 12:50 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 04-18 11:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 04-14 17:03 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.0805018551 | $11.50 |
| 04-11 16:33 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0316105579 | $5.00 |
| 04-11 16:33 | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | BUY | 0.0769999674 | $2.00 |
| 04-11 16:28 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 16:26 | Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0520000001 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 17:34 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 22:11 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.377 | $37.70 |
| 04-06 14:24 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |