sergiuschz
0xcd0e49bdd7e8abed92bda5bf3431cb0b144d46e7
- Realised P&L
- $513.55
- Volume
- $54.9k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $10.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Racing Club? · No | 0.975 | 0.976 | $4.0k | +$4.18 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 CA Osasuna? · No | 0.972 | 1.000 | $3.6k | +$100.05 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 0 Sport Lisboa e Benfica? · No | 0.968 | 0.966 | $3.1k | −$6.40 |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.225 | $136.50 | −$197.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$320.00at 0.180Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?
- +$258.69at 0.762Will "Shelter" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?
- +$204.00at 0.100Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 6?
- +$190.00at 0.110Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?
- +$180.29at 0.700Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:15 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Racing Club? | BUY | 0.9749805784 | $4.0k |
| 09-16 17:09 | Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 CA Osasuna? | BUY | 0.971722365 | $3.5k |
| 07-23 13:48 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.22 |
| 03-10 11:33 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5499999998 | $336.13 |
| 01-28 07:41 | Will "Shelter" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m? | BUY | 0.7624172132 | $830.15 |
| 01-28 07:39 | Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $830.15 |
| 01-13 07:05 | Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | BUY | 0.9409999999 | $783.53 |
| 01-09 20:36 | Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m? | BUY | 0.6982840237 | $118.01 |
| 12-26 05:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26? | SELL | 0.0283116216 | $38.19 |
| 12-26 05:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26? | SELL | 0.193566365 | $20.53 |
| 12-25 17:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26? | BUY | 0.1 | $190.00 |
| 12-25 17:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26? | BUY | 0.09 | $10.67 |
| 12-15 06:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15? | SELL | 0.0492703 | $49.27 |
| 12-13 16:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 12-13 16:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |