cheesesteak1
0xcd0b853b97bc5632ab35ebd4b6cda8d91069444b
- Realised P&L
- $-8.00
- Volume
- $176.25
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $52.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 25%-30%? · No | 0.696 | 0.830 | $37.35 | +$6.05 |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.360 | $11.25 | +$2.75 |
| Will David Jolly underperform Kamala in Florida? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.155 | $3.88 | −$4.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.75at 0.410Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
- +$-22.75at 0.455Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 13:56 | Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |