0xcd0A5B18dcc204645bB69803C1eb8f204690eF9C-1790675548596
0xcd0a5b18dcc204645bb69803c1eb8f204690ef9c
- Realised P&L
- $-128.61
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $62.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.14at 0.321Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$-1.42at 0.627Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$-3.04at 0.019Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?
- +$-3.12at 0.577Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?
- +$-12.64at 0.466Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.2699999962 | $18.64 |
| 10-05 13:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 13:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 13:05 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $12.05 |
| 10-05 13:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 8? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 13:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7? | BUY | 0.064073226 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 12:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 12:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.16 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 12:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 12:58 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $9.64 |
| 10-05 12:58 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.301 | $9.82 |
| 10-05 12:58 | Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.46 | $10.68 |
| 10-04 20:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 6? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $9.29 |
| 10-04 20:24 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $10.03 |
| 10-04 20:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.1899999983 | $18.57 |